Saturday 27 June 2015

Types of Decision Making

Likewise problems, decision-making have also various types. Some decisions require great contemplation, prudence and wisdom. It is also possible that such type of decisions is to be faced by the administrator once in life time. Some decisions do not require deep thinking and they are settled very easily.

Decision-making are of two kinds
  • Programmed decision
  • Non-programmed decision

Programmed decision

A decision made when the situation occurs frequently enough or is sufficiently well-structured to be resolved by applying predetermined decision rules.
An administrator does such type of decision in the situation where rules and regulations are already existed to address these problems. These decisions are done repeatedly and they are routine matters. The situation is very clear before the administrator. This type of situation requires future policy formation and leads to enact new rules and regulations. Policy is the principle, which considered as the guiding line of action. For the implementation of this policy rules and procedures are formed. For example, the rule is passed that the primary education is a compulsion for children who are five years old is “rule” in true sense. The procedure is also determined which explains how the policy will be enforced in practice i.e. children’s name, date of birth, income of parents. In this regard parents give oath for admission. It is a procedure. Either the school Urdu as medium of instruction or English as medium, it will be decided on policy level. It means, in such decision rules, policy and procedures will be observed. We also call it SOP (Standing Order Procedure).

Non-programmed decision

A decision made in a situation where pre-determined decision rules cannot be applied because the situation is less structured occurs rarely, or in unique.
This includes hard decisions which are made by high authorities. For example, some private institutions decide that students should be studied in their organization without fees on certain terms and conditions. For this, the question is addressed that from where do the resources be generates? How does the salary be arranged for the teacher? Such type of decision can only be made by owners of the school despite the principal or teachers.

Conditions of decision making

The administrator has to face different problems during decision making process. In some cases he has information; on some he has vague information or absence of policies, rules and procedures. Already established rules are ineffective to solve this problem. He is not certain about the solution. In this case four conditions are essential to keep in mind.

Certainty

Condition of certainty is a situation in which the manager has complete information about the problem, the alternative, and the consequences of a decision on the future.
Therefore, such types of decisions are taken easily and effectively. But in some cases circumstances can be changed entirely in future. In these decisions administrator follow rules, procedures and policy or his discretionary powers creatively without any pressure and time frame.

Risk

Condition of risk, a situation in which the manager understands the problem and the alternatives and has only enough information to estimate the probability that the available alternatives will lead to desired outcome.
Manager or head keeping in view the possibilities and takes decision and the whole team follow the decision and work but a risk remains such as one subject if remains weak will lead the failure in result as a whole in class. It is necessary for an educational head to avoid such risks and try to produce better results.

Uncertainty

Uncertainty means ambiguity, vagueness and lack of clarity. It is condition, a situation in which the manager understands the problem but has incomplete information about the alternatives and the probably consequences of each alternative.
Thus manager has to use his own reason, logic or intuition to reach on some decision in this uncertain condition. He himself remains unclear about the results. It is a complex and challenging situation that require natural leadership qualities.

Ambiguity

Ambiguity is a situation in which the manager has little or no information about the problem, the alternatives or the consequences of each alternative.
Manager has to make his own new set up and design a unique strategy to get way out of the problem. This entire situation requires great leadership qualities and supreme confidence of the leader. The more he is knowledgeable and experienced the more he will breed in himself the resolution of solving problems.  

 Models of decision making

Classical model

In this model the outlook is objective and rationale. Decisions are made with complete knowledge and information. Alternative models are scrutinized keenly and explained in detail. All the objectives are clear and visible. Everything is in black and white. But the problem is such rationale and logical path cannot be followed accurately. In real life situation nobody knows what will happen. To decide and launch a strategy is our power, but what would be the consequences nobody can predict. Developed countries have reached at the point of knowledge and technology and strategies that they can assume and predict human behavior to possible extent and use in problem solving.

Administrative model

In this model, managers cannot decide, in rational and logical way. This model is also termed as “Bounded Rationality”. According to which decisions of decision maker depends upon his own knowledge and time. Therefore, usually due to lack of knowledge and information it remains imperfect and causes a loss to organization. It happens due to lack of resources and time which hamper availability of information. If complete information is available, the inexperienced decision maker will not be able to take right decisions.
Sometimes alternatives are ignored without assessing their true worth, its details and consequences. All this happens due to lack of intelligence and memory.

Barriers on decision making

There are some barriers which hinders the decision making process. A manager should avoid from them. They are as follows:

  1. Incomplete information
  2. Incomplete identification of the problem
  3. No preparation of list on alternatives.
  4. Decisions based on biases
  5. Head of school sticks on the decision after revealing its weaknesses during implementation
  6. To change the existing situation despite its positive results
  7. To make defense of some issue illogically and without rational

Types of Problems

Crisis problem

A crisis problem is a “situation that urgently requires an immediate decision.” In this position head teacher perceives that the goodwill of the organization is at the stake and it is necessary to find the solution of the crisis as early as possible. For example, in a school two groups kick the row which threaten to the lives of the teachers and students, administrator will call the police, seeks parent’s cooperation or close the school with the consent of District or Provincial administration. This situation also can develop during natural calamity, such as storm, heavy rain, land-sliding, riots in the city, terrorism, fire, war etc.

Non-crisis problem

Non crisis problem is a problem requires a decision but less urgently than a crisis problem. This situation demands less urgent attention but not instant solution. Crisis problem, deal with urgent event in reactionary way while non-crisis problem deals with imminent events in a conscious way. For example, if government provides computer to schools but skilled faculty is not available. School administration will train their own faculty member to run the computer lab, or they will arrange provisionally a teacher by means of “Management Community”. Or find a volunteer teacher from the community. But for this school administration the element of time frame is flexible.

Opportunity problem

Opportunity problem is a situation that can be dealt with in a way that has a positive effect on the organization and its performance. In this situation the solution of the problem leads to some benefit in the form of outcome. In this situation head of organization does not feel any pressure or he feels some difficulties seeing it. This problem leads to creative type of solution. For example, head and teachers jointly decide to keep the school clean or what steps can be taken for quality education. In this regard, library books increase in number, discipline improvement or equip the science laboratories with modern instruments. The solution of these problems leads to raising the goodwill of the school but it takes time.

Well structured problem

It is straight forward, familiar, easily defined problem. For example, a student’s name is struck off due to absentees; his re-admission is his legal right. Therefore, administrator has no pressure to bear upon.

Less structured problem

It is a new problem in which information is ambiguous or incomplete, for example, after establishment a computer lab, some computer virus invades the computer while administrator in untrained in computer. This will be a new and unique problem for him. He has to contact with various teachers, computer experts, make an estimate of the loss, wasted records will renew by hard copies of the record, again install windows, and maintain it and check the performance of the laboratory.